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Summer 2026 / Methodology

Agentic Protocol Adoption Census Methodology

For this report, StoreSteady evaluated a frozen corpus of 50 Shopify storefronts. This page documents selection, denominator, exclusion, redaction, source, and version rules.

Corpus And Window

Selection rule: Deterministic rank-stratified 50-store tranche from the frozen external_top_500 Shopify storefront corpus; no merchant-identifying examples are published.

Freeze timestamp: 2026-05-21T22:00:01.570Z

Evaluation window: 2026-05-26T00:44:00.000Z to 2026-05-26T01:05:00.000Z

Fields collected: ACP catalog and checkout endpoint probes, UCP profile probe, AP2 capability declaration probe, MCP server manifest probe, A2A Agent Card probe, llms.txt and llms-full.txt commerce-reference probe, public Shopify product JSON feed probe, checkout/session manifest or public docs reference probe, protocol-adjacent crawler directive probe.

Denominator Rules

Every published rate has its own evaluable N and Wilson 95% confidence interval.

Access friction, detector non-evaluability, deterministic conflicts, tentative findings, and confirmed findings are kept separate.

No blended denominator is used in this report.

Metric Quality Table

MetricTierNCountCICaveat
core_agentic_protocol_verifiedHeadline5000% - 7.14%Deterministic public probes for ACP, UCP, AP2, MCP, and A2A. Absence or non-evaluability is not counted as a transaction-capability finding.
any_agentic_readiness_signalSupporting5021.1% - 13.5%Readiness signal includes verified core protocol surfaces, llms.txt readiness, public feed/API references, checkout/session references, or crawler directives.
protocol_adjacent_crawler_directiveSupporting5021.1% - 13.5%Counts explicit public crawler directives for agent/search bots; this is adjacent readiness, not ACP/AP2/UCP/MCP/A2A adoption.
core_protocol_referenced_not_machine_readableSupporting5010.35% - 10.5%A public well-known surface responded but did not satisfy the machine-readable V1 schema contract.
protocol_probe_blocked_or_not_evaluableLimitation504989.5% - 99.7%Non-circumventing public probes only. Blocked/not-evaluable states are separated from protocol absence and from verified adoption.

Redaction Policy

  • No store names, raw domains, raw URLs, raw crawl text, or raw AI responses are published.
  • No exact promo codes, private feed/admin evidence, or merchant-identifying product examples are published.
  • Public examples fail closed unless Caleb explicitly approves the specific exposure.

Related Public Benchmarks

This report is not a placement dashboard, market forecast, AEO forecast, or financial impact estimate. It measures evidence quality and evaluability under the StoreSteady public research protocol.

Sources

Version History

  • 2026-summer.public-v1 (2026-05-26): Initial public report from a 1-3 store smoke and rank-stratified 50-store deterministic protocol probe tranche.